Do I stand a chance in Second Counseling?

Thumb Rule:

I read on Ankur Gupta's website www.ankur-gupta.com/blog that NIT first counseling goes up to 8000 AIR while second counseling goes up to 12000 AIR. From this I inferred that at whatever rank a subject finishes in the first counseling, say AIR 10000 for instance, there is a good chance that it will finally go around 50% more of that rank, ie. 15000 in this case. To be realistic you can expect a difference of 25-50% I guess...

Let the cutoff rank in First Counseling be X.

If your rank lies within:

X+10%X
Sure shot chance!

X+20%X
Almost sure shot chance!

X+50%X
Good chance!

X+70%X
Some chance!

>X+70%X
Very slim chance!

These figures are especially valid for AIR equal or better than 10000 in first counseling. The statistics may change for ranks which are >10000 to some/great extent.

These Cutoffs are basically for AIEEE Second Central Counseling for NITs, PEC, Thapar etc...